Tuesday, July 7, 2009

July 7

Good Morning All,

Although markets continued their now five-week long struggle to find direction yesterday, some encouraging signs were seen at day's end, when stocks rallied off their near-term support lows on the S&P 500. The recently established trading range between 888 (the 200 day) and 930 (the formidable breakout point), may have just experienced its last downside test. A close above the latter number could lead to significant gains through September.

In Toronto , the oils and base metal stocks have given back recent gains as U.S. dollar strength has compromised the commodity trade. This too should change quite quickly as the CDN dollar appears to be very oversold. Financials, on the other hand, have retained their resilience, having once again proven the comparative stability of our more regulated system versus that of our neighbour. Banks are like sports events and back alleys...they require referees and policing.

A breakout above the aforementioned 930 will float most ships, but techs and biotechs will still lead. Geron, among others recommended last November at half its present price, continues to spark my interest. (yes I own it)

Commentary

With respect to the political events of this past weekend, it is time once again for people of goodwill all around the world to pause for a moment, drop to their knees and thank whoever or whatever they believe that we are not living under a McCain/ Palin administration. For those who are not believers in any specific entity, thank the American voters. Me anwhile Barack better have another talk with Joe who is yards smarter than Sarah barracuda, but at times just as mouthy.

It is time too for Americans to stop bashing our Medicare system until they commission a poll here asking Canadians if they would exchange systems. One particular silly claim is that of having to deal with bureaucrats. I have had a number of dealings over the years with our much maligned system and have never once spoken to a government representative...the doctors do that. I have however had to deal with insurance company clerks for my private company plan. Just private bureaucrats in America ...there is a difference?

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